The central bank is likely to keep rates on hold at its policy review on Tuesday, 28 July 2009, due to a surplus liquidity in the banking system and on low demand for credit. The central bank is also likely to lay out a more clear roadmap to conduct the government borrowing programme in a smooth manner and may hike the GDP and inflation forecast for the year ending March 2010 (FY 2010).
Ahead of the review, the RBI will also release the macroeconomic and monetary developments during the quarter ended June 2009.
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) cut the repo rate, or its key short-term lending rate, by 425 basis points to 4.75% in six steps since October 2008 as it tried to guard a slowing economy against the global financial crisis.
The central bank also slashed the reverse-repo rate by 275 basis points since early December 2008 and brought down the cash reserve requirement (the proportion of deposits that banks set aside), by 400 basis points to 5% since early October 2008 to keep credit flowing.
the government's stimulus measures late last year to counter slowdown in domestic economy have started to bear fruits.
The latest economic data indicated improving economic activity. The six infrastructure industries -- crude oil, refining, coal, electricity, cement and steel -- together grew at an annual rate of 6.5% in June 2009, faster than the previous month's rise of 2.8%, data showed on Thursday, 23 July 2009. The infrastructure sector accounts for 26.7% of India's industrial output.
Inflation based on the wholesale price index declined 1.17% in the year through 11 July 2009, compared to previous week's fall of 1.21%, data released by the government showed on Thursday, 23 July 2009.
Ahead of the review, the RBI will also release the macroeconomic and monetary developments during the quarter ended June 2009.
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) cut the repo rate, or its key short-term lending rate, by 425 basis points to 4.75% in six steps since October 2008 as it tried to guard a slowing economy against the global financial crisis.
The central bank also slashed the reverse-repo rate by 275 basis points since early December 2008 and brought down the cash reserve requirement (the proportion of deposits that banks set aside), by 400 basis points to 5% since early October 2008 to keep credit flowing.
the government's stimulus measures late last year to counter slowdown in domestic economy have started to bear fruits.
The latest economic data indicated improving economic activity. The six infrastructure industries -- crude oil, refining, coal, electricity, cement and steel -- together grew at an annual rate of 6.5% in June 2009, faster than the previous month's rise of 2.8%, data showed on Thursday, 23 July 2009. The infrastructure sector accounts for 26.7% of India's industrial output.
Inflation based on the wholesale price index declined 1.17% in the year through 11 July 2009, compared to previous week's fall of 1.21%, data released by the government showed on Thursday, 23 July 2009.
No comments:
Post a Comment